ISSN: 1885-5857 Impact factor 2023 7.2
Vol. 67. Num. 5.
Pages 418 (May 2014)

Letter to the editor
Does CHA2DS2-VASc Score Select Patients Who Will Benefit Most From Anticoagulation? Response

¿La clasificación CHA2DS2-VASc selecciona a los pacientes que más van a beneficiarse de la anticoagulación? Respuesta

Vivencio Barriosa¿Carlos Escobarb
Rev Esp Cardiol. 2014;67:417-810.1016/j.rec.2014.01.005
Eva Pueo, Bieito Campos, Manuel Anguita, Fernando Worner

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To the Editor,

We would like to thank Pueo et al for their interest in our article published in Revista Española de Cardiología. We agree with the authors that one of the main conclusions of the study is that antithrombotic therapy is not applied correctly in Spain.1 The simplification of the algorithm for anticoagulation therapy in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation appears to be sound in principle, as it will improve the application of antithrombotic therapy.

However, we think the risk scales and treatment algorithms require comment. First, we should more clearly establish when the risk of stroke in a patient is sufficiently high to warrant anticoagulation therapy. For example, the annual risk of stroke in patients with CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores=1 is 2.8% and 1.3%, respectively. When both scores are 2, the risk is between 4.0% and 2.2%.2,3 That is, the risk of stroke in a patient with a CHADS2 score=1 is greater than that in a patient with a CHA2DS2-VASc score=2.4,5

Second, although most of the variables in both scales are continuous, they are presented as dichotomous variables, which, although easy to apply, greatly decreases their predictive value. For example, although the score obtained is the same, it is reasonable to assume that the risk of stroke differs between a 75-year-old patient and a 65-year-old patient. In fact, according to the scheme proposed by the authors, in the absence of any other associated thrombotic risk factors, a patient of 74 years and 11 months will not have an indication for anticoagulation therapy, but 1 month later most definitely will. Similarly, a patient with a persistent systolic blood pressure of 141mmHg should be considered hypertensive, but not a patient with 139mmHg, and yet the risk of stroke should be very similar. Again, a patient who has had diabetes for 15 years and is being treated with insulin therapy does not have the same risk of stroke as a patient newly diagnosed with diabetes being treated with 1 drug alone, although in both patients the scores will be the same. The same could be said of the remaining variables.

Finally, it seems too simplistic to only take into account contraindications to anticoagulation. It would be better to take into account the factors that increase the risk of bleeding, quantify this risk, and compare it with the risk of stroke.6

Thus, bearing in mind the technological age in which we live, it would be far better to again analyze the databases to which the scales were applied, although this should be done using the actual value of the variable, then assess the risk of stroke and bleeding, and finally use a software application to accurately calculate the risk of stroke and bleeding. This assessment would probably be as fast as using an oversimplified scale, but would certainly be far more accurate, realistic, and useful.

References
[1]
V. Barrios, C. Escobar, A. Calderón, G.C. Rodríguez Roca, J.L. Llisterri, J. Polo García.
Uso del tratamiento antitrombótico según la escala CHA2DS2-VASc en los pacientes con fibrilación auricular en atención primaria.
Rev Esp Cardiol, (2014), 67 pp. 150-151
[2]
B.F. Gage, A.D. Waterman, W. Shannon, M. Boechler, M.W. Rich, M.J. Radford.
Validation of clinical classification schemes for predicting stroke: results from the National Registry of Atrial Fibrillation.
JAMA, (2001), 285 pp. 2864-2870
[3]
G.Y. Lip, R. Nieuwlaat, R. Pisters, D.A. Lane, H.J. Crijns.
Refining clinical risk stratification for predicting stroke and thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation using a novel risk factor-based approach: the Euro Heart Survey on atrial fibrillation.
Chest, (2010), 137 pp. 263-272
[4]
A.J. Camm, P. Kirchhof, G.Y. Lip, U. Schotten, I. Savelieva, S. Ernst, et al.
Guías de práctica clínica para el manejo de la fibrilación auricular.
Rev Esp Cardiol, (2010), 63
[5]
A.J. Camm, G.Y. Lip, R.D. Caterina, I. Savelieva, D. Atar, S.H. Hohnloser, et al.
Actualización de las guías de la Sociedad Europea de Cardiología (ESC) para el manejo de la fibrilación auricular de 2010 Elaborada en colaboración con la Asociación Europea del Ritmo Cardiaco.
[6]
R. Pisters, D.A. Lane, R. Nieuwlaat, C.B. De Vos, H.J. Crijns, G.Y. Lip.
A novel user-friendly score (HAS-BLED) to assess one-year risk of major bleeding in atrial fibrillation patients: The Euro Heart Survey.
Chest, (2010), 138 pp. 1093-1100
Copyright © 2014. Sociedad Española de Cardiología
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